The actual variability of how warm or cold the air gets depends on many factors. The greatest factor in determining the air temperature is the amount of solar radiation that reaches the surface--that is, the input of energy from the sun and the output of energy from the surface. This is determined by the amount of daylight hours and the intensity of solar radiation both of which vary according to the season. In addition to this, there are four main controls which cause variation in air temperature- latitude, land and water, ocean currents, and elevation. Weather forecasters must consider these variations as well as the amount of solar radiation that reaches the earth surface when they make their probability distributions which are based in part on human judgment. However, weather forecasters also use satellites and supercomputers. This are advance level. I made a simple design using LM53 sensor
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